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Category Archives for Trading

Lance Roberts: The Case For A 50% Market Correction

SummaryThe advance decline line is still in a negative slope right now, which is a non-confirmation to the rally.As we continue to push up through levels of certain support or previous resistance, that triggers more buying.So as the market rallies, shorts are being forced to cover.Running out of Gimmicks to Goose ‘Earnings’ GrowthSo, did the […]

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The Fortune Teller’s Predictions For 2019: S&P 500 At A Critical Juncture

BackgroundOn November 27th, 2018, we introduced the Wheel of FORTUNE’s end of 2018 mega poll and invited everyone to spin the wheel with us.In this poll, we asked participants to predict (guess or assess) the closing levels, on January 11th, 2019, of four of the most important gauges in the capital markets:S&P 500 Index (SPY, […]

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General Electric: Some Big Developments On The Horizon

As earnings season nears for General Electric (GE), it’s important for the company’s shareholders, as well as market watchers, to take stock of where things are now and what should be anticipated for the firm’s press release. After all, this will be the first full quarter with new management in charge of the business, and with business […]

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Let’s Put The ‘Rhino Principle’ In Action With This List Of Tenacious REITs

Sometimes the investment world can be a dripping, sopping rainforest of confusing smells, sights and sounds.Sometimes it can be an absolute swampland of poisonous snakes, treacherous bogs and malaria-carrying mosquitos.And sometimes it can look like a long, long, oh-so-long swath of grassy, deserted plains that just keeps stretching on for miles to see, far away […]

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Morgan Stanley: Another Market Storm is Coming

​Enjoy the market calm for now. Morgan Stanley thinks another storm is coming.The S&P 500 will soon suffer a retest of the lows from Christmas Eve because of shrinking earnings estimates and mounting economic concerns, the investment bank warned in a Monday report titled “Don’t fear a potential recession; Embrace it.””Should the hard data deteriorate […]

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Bank Stocks 2019: The Good, The Bad, And The Opportunities

Goal for this Post and this SeriesThe goal for this post and future posts is to identify banks with the best prospects for superior shareholder performance over the next 3-5 years.Analytical ApproachAs background, the data used in this analysis and ones to follow in this series are derived from three sources: FDIC, Ycharts, and Bankregdata. […]

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How To Trade Apple Using Statistics

Apple (AAPL) caught Wall Street by surprise last week, issuing a surprise profit warning that sent the stock down roughly 10 percent in one day. For those of you who are long-time Apple shareholders, however, it’s nothing you haven’t seen before. For all its charms, it is a bimodal (and psychologically bipolar) stock.Over the last […]

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Market Reversals Typically Take Time To Develop

Human Nature And PlungesSince investor psychology tends to be similar after a sharp plunge in the stock market (VTI), subsequent bottoms and/or countertrend rallies often share similar characteristics. The first three cases below all show investor behavior following a sharp 20% plunge in a non-recessionary environment.The 1987 case featured a sharp oversold rally of 18.82% […]

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Three Key Dates for Markets This Quarter

Will the Fed take a breather from its quarterly pace of rate hikes? The policymakers’ Jan. 29-30 meeting will be a key event in the first quarter, as the U.S. economy nears late cycle and financial conditions tighten. Both Fed policymakers and the markets will be laser-focused on economic data for clues about the health […]

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Market Volatility May Pay Dividends, Eventually

2018 seems to be ending on a bad note in the markets. December is setting the wrong kind of records, and Q4 has been a bumpy one in general. This is what happens in the stock market sometimes, but it’s been easy to forget over the decade-long bull market.We’re using the end of the year […]

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