In this article, we are recommending the Compass Diversified Holdings, 7.25% Series A Non-Cumulative Preferred Shares ('CODI.PA') or CODI-A, which currently yields 9.4%. This preferred stock provides investors with a high and juicy dividend that's well covered and that's also backed by a company that is battle tested.
We have made our thesis in a recent article published on Seeking Alpha explaining why we believe that further interest rate hikes by the Fed are nearly done, and why we believe that interest rates are set to decline in 2020 and beyond. We strongly believe that income investors should be buying high-yielding stocks, including preferred stocks today in order to lock in the high yield. For conservative income investors and retirees, the preferred stock space is one of the most defensive and conservative ways to get exposure to high-yield stocks. The price of preferred stocks is inversely related to interest rates, therefore once interest rates start to decline, the price of preferred shares is set to soar, and the yields we are seeing today are unlikely to last. This is why we have been dedicating a series of articles to uncover the best high-yield preferred stocks that still trade at attractive valuations. As for the CODI-A preferred stock, this is a unique buying opportunity offered by the markets today, and I will explain why I have added it to my retirement account.
The issuing company of the preferred stock CODI-A is Compass Diversified Holdings (CODI), a publicly traded "private equity" firm that acquires and operates middle market businesses in North America. The company is externally managed by Compass Group Management LLC which has been successfully acquiring and managing middle market companies for more than 30 years. This is a battle-tested company that has gone through the great financial crisis of 2007-2008 and managed to outperform the S&P 500 index during the period (including the great bear market related to the financial crisis). Below is the chart comparing the "total returns" of Compass vs. the S&P 500 index since the year 2006.
Note that Compass did not cut or reduce the dividends to common shareholders during or after the financial crisis. Now that's pretty remarkable. The stock currently pays a very generous yield of 10%.
The company was established as a publicly traded partnership to avoid paying taxes at the corporate level, and as such, investors receive K-1 tax forms. If for some reason the company is restructured as a C-Corp in the future, this will invoke some redemption provisions for its preferred shareholders.
Compass currently owns 10 companies which comprise the asset base and cash flow generation of the company. Its primary source of income is interest and principal payments on loans it has extended to its platform companies. Compass has direct access to the cash flow of the underlying platform companies (they are subsidiaries) and uses this to service its own debt and dividends.
What's important to note is that Compass is highly diversified into leading brands and growing businesses, producing consistent cash flow and earnings growth. Five of these businesses are consumer businesses and the other five are industrial businesses.
The branded consumer businesses are:
The niche industrial companies are:
Since the IPO in 2006, Compass has purchased 19 companies like this (it calls them platforms). They also purchased 28 of what they call add-ons, which are basically bolt-on acquisitions for the platform companies. It most recently divested Camelbak in 2015. It has realized more than $770 million in gains from divesting nine of the platforms it has purchased.
Compass has been a fast-growing company in terms of revenues, EBITDA and earnings.
Revenue per share has been increasing fast since 2015, by about 60%. That has certainly helped earnings increase and shows that management has been implementing its strategy effectively.
Since 2015, earnings (as measured by EBITDA per share) have also increased at a fast pace by over 60% in the past four years alone.
Handling debt well is very important. For companies that are capital intensive, and acquiring middle market companies like CODI does is capital intensive, it's important to borrow enough. But at the same time, borrowing too much can result in debt costs eating all of your cash flow.
The current leverage based on the company's latest 10-Q reports was at 3.85 times EBITDA which is reasonable and well below the debt covenants requirement to be below 5.0 times.
There are two main risks that investors need to be aware of.
1- The External Manager: Compass has external manager with a long track record, but it has been labeled by some analysts as not very much aligned with shareholders. The reason is that the fees of this management are mainly based as a percentage of "assets under management" rather than based on the profitability of the company or on the share price performance. This has resulted in the company growing enormously, but common shareholders did not benefit much because the profits are constantly used to further grow Compass' portfolio. As a result, the dividends have not increased despite fast-growing EBITDA.
We agree with this criticism, and we believe that management's compensation should be changed to become based on the performance of the stock price and/or the profitability of the company. Still, putting things into perspective, the common stock CODI has outperformed the S&P 500 index since the year 2006, and therefore management has done well so far with common shareholders.
2- Recession Risks: While the company is a battle-tested one and did not even reduce the dividends during the great financial crisis, the current dividend coverage for the common shares is not very high, just at 1.09 times. The cash flow, specifically CAD (Cash Available for Distribution) while on an upward trend may not increase in case we hit a recession. This could lead to a situation where Compass doesn't have enough cash flow to meet all of its needs. Furthermore, in addition to the recurrent income from its underlying subsidiaries, Compass generates additional income by buying and selling businesses, and in case of a recession, this line of business could underperform. Given that the dividend coverage on the common shares is not as high as we like to see, there's a risk of a dividend reduction in case of a weakening economy.
Purchases and sales of stocks by insiders always are of interest to us, and we monitor this very closely, especially for stocks that we recommend to our investors. Compass insiders have been active in purchasing shares over the last three months.
We summarize the activity:
Given that CODI is externally managed, these insider purchases are very important. By having officers of the outside management company also invested in shares makes them more aligned with the interests of common shareholders.
We believe that the common shares of CODI are an attractive investment at the current price, and the yield is very generous at 10%. However, with the possibility that the risks to the U.S and global economies will start to increase in 2020 and beyond, we believe that income investors should be on the defensive. In preparation, we have been recommending to our investors a larger allocation to preferred stocks and bonds to hedge against economic risks and related market volatility. This strategy should pay off well, especially for conservative income investors and retirees, and for those near retirement.
CODI has currently two preferred stocks:
With a view that interest rates are likely to start declining in 2020 and beyond, income investors are much better served by investing in fixed-rate preferred shares, rather than a floating (or variable rate). Variable rate preferred stocks were great during time of rising interest rates, however, they are set to underperform, and may take a big hit, when interest rates start declining. This is the reason why we have been advising our investors to reduce exposure to floating rate preferred stocks, and even avoid them altogether. Now is the time to lock in the higher yields of fixed-rate preferred stocks for the long term, and this has been our strategy at High Dividend Opportunities.
Therefore, we are recommending to invest in the CODI-A share (or CODI.PA).
Due to the recent market correction, the CODI-A Shares are trading at a bargain valuation.
Currently, they are trading at only $19.10. Note that the shares have traded above $22.80 a share a few months ago before the recent market correction, or about 20% higher from the current price. This is the kind of unique opportunity we look for our investors. The yield is at 9.4%, very close to the 10% yield offered to the common shareholders with a much higher level of safety!
The most recent yield of CODI-A is 9.4%.
Given these provisions, for investors wanting a steady and safe income (such as those in or near retirement), the Series A preferred is a great investment to buy and hold for the long run.
Most of the year 2018, CODI-A has been trading around $22.80. Our short-term price target is $22.00 per share, which would represent a capital gain of 15%. Buying CODI-A at any price below $21 is of great value.
The preferred CODI-A is the best way to get exposure to Compass Diversified Holdings. This is a battle-tested company that has outperformed in good and bad times. CODI-A offers an extremely generous yield of 9.4%, an opportunity that's unlikely to last long. While there are big capital gains to be made, we are buying CODI-A for its juicy dividend and its higher margin of safety as a long-term income investment.
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